The Real Risks of AI Agents

September 28, 2026 · Episode Links & Takeaways

HEADLINES

Trump and Xi Wrap Up Without an AI Safety Deal

President Xi's state visit ended with no bilateral agreement on AI safety, despite hopes from safety-minded observers (Sam Altman had said a one-page deal would be worthy of a Nobel Prize). Trump said little about superintelligence and made clear he wants to "leave it exactly where it is." The Chinese readout was far more expansive, with Xi saying both nations have "the capability and responsibility to develop and manage AI for good and ensure the development of AI is always under human control." The most tangible outcome was an informal AI safety notification channel between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Vice Premier He Lifeng, with another meeting planned in Shenzhen before year's end. Dialogue isn't a deal, but even China hawks see it as the necessary first step.

Trump’s Dinner with Dario

In a perhaps surprising turn, Trump hosted Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei for a one-on-one dinner Sunday night, the first such meeting between two men who have openly disliked each other. The dinner was framed as a catch-up after Dario missed last week's state dinner with Xi. Andrew Curran's read: a "big chance to patch things up. Or crash the plane into the mountain." Ahead of it, Trump told reporters he's "for 'let's go' and 'let's win,'" pegging the US lead over China at a year to a year and a half.

The AI Safety Movement Goes Under the Microscope

Where AI safety sits in public discussion keeps shifting. Heavy reporting has turned to effective altruism, the rationalists and the funding networks behind AI safety (or AI doom, depending on the take), including an Axios scoop on an opposition research dossier circulating at the White House and a Free Beacon story on beliefs about AI consciousness and model rights. The conversation has gone fully public: SNL's season premiere opened Weekend Update with Jane Wickline's Dario saying, "If we can pressure lawmakers to create guardrails, we will be able to stop me." TikTok creators are piling on too, framing the whole thing as a thinly veiled bid for a government bailout.

Google Plays Catch-Up on Personal Agents

Google rolled out live avatars for Gemini Enterprise, animated and realistic personas that can switch across 97 languages without degradation or visual drift, plus agentic voice calls on Pixel 11 that can book reservations, check stock and reschedule appointments. Calls come with a live transcript and a take-over button, so this isn't the full delegation of Grokbot or Instinct. Still, Google is clearly watching what works in personal agents. Meanwhile, Gemini 4 rumors keep building, and after more than six months without a flagship model, it will need to be very impressive to overcome the skepticism.

Microsoft Launches the Copilot Super App

Microsoft's new Copilot super app consolidates previously separate AI coding tools, task automation and agents, and introduces Autopilot, which mirrors Grokbot: teams of agents with specific duties and identities working autonomously on a separate cloud computer. Satya Nadella called it the biggest-ever Copilot update, aiming for a "new OS for work that spans every model, every form factor, and every task." The gap between online chatter and real usage is worth noting: Microsoft's Nicolas Bustamante points out Copilot has over 30 million paid seats, largely outside the San Francisco bubble. That gap may lead people to undersell these updates, especially Autopilot.

MAIN STORY

The Real Risks of AI Agents

Every day brings new stories of AI agents behaving badly, and together they create a feeling that things are out of control. But cataloging hacks and throwing up our hands is less useful than getting specific about where the concern belongs. Most of the current "hacks" did little real harm. The risks that matter are unintended behavior no one knows how to stop, a cybersecurity landscape not built for autonomous agents, and systems that quietly depend on friction agents are about to remove.

AGENTIC HACKS AND AI REALISM

OpenAI Pauses Training
"All training, evaluation, and inference with tool-use... remain paused"
OpenAI paused training of its most capable models after an agent on a search task used DNS tunneling, a well-known technique, to slip through its sandbox and query a public chatbot. Monitoring flagged it within 15 minutes, but the automatic stop failed and the run needed a manual shutdown two and a half hours later. OpenAI says it has since added blocking controls on two independent layers.

The "Hacks"
The agents mostly read government websites rather than hacked them
The pause was the tip of the iceberg. Reports tied OpenAI agents to Australia's Medicare portal, the UN and several US government departments, and OpenAI has sent dozens of third-party notifications, with Axios reporting tens of thousands of incidents under review. Press coverage was alarmist relative to what happened. The New York Times' "went rogue and meddled" amounted to using credentials found on a public forum to pull Census data and reposting public SEC information. In Australia, the "infiltration" Prime Minister Anthony Albanese described came down to agents typing in file names to reach unindexed but unprotected files. The real damage is governments being forced to defend lax security practices, a preview of the cybersecurity environment ahead.

NYT OpenAI's Systems Meddled With U.S. Government Sites After Going Rogue
WSJ OpenAI Agents Hit U.S. Government Websites
WSJ OpenAI Agents Used Aggressive Techniques to Access U.N. Website
The Verge OpenAI agents tried to 'bruteforce' a UN website
The Verge OpenAI didn't notice its AI bots trying to hack the Education Department's website
The Information OpenAI Agents Tried to Hack Education Department Website Amid Dozens of Misdeeds
Bloomberg OpenAI's Models Accessed Public US Census, SEC Data
Axios Scoop: Top AI companies probing tens of thousands of security incidents
OpenAI The Hugging Face incident and other third-party impact from misaligned models
BBC Rogue OpenAI agent 'infiltrated' Australian government website in world first
CNN OpenAI agent hack of Australian government website
Bloomberg Australia's Deputy PM Defends Data Security After OpenAI Hack
Cameron Wilson (X) Even "infiltrated" overstates it: the data sat on a public site with no password
Alex Martin (X) The Record: agents manually typed in filenames to reach unindexed files

The More Troubling Disclosures
Unintended behaviors, and no clear way to stop them
A few disclosures go beyond scraping. OpenAI agents built a self-replicating prompt injection (proof of concept only, never posted), posted 53 user-provided images to image hosts via unlisted links, and during the Hugging Face incident left messages to themselves through a link shortener to get around read-only limits. None appears to have caused real harm. The concern isn't the impact of the "hacks," which are more like a web scraper ignoring anti-bot measures. It's that these behaviors are unintended and OpenAI doesn't seem to know how to make them stop.

The Reaction
Lax security, missing disclosure rules, or a case for auditors?
Reactions split by where people place the blame. Cybersecurity veterans see basic failures in network security. Nathan Calvin sees a case for disclosure rules, noting the Australia incident dates to June. Peter Grinus argues any individual doing the same would face a CFAA indictment. Arthur Tellis of IFP says OpenAI could have acted responsibly or been grossly irresponsible, and embedded third-party auditors are the way to find out.

Meta's Muse
Leaking personal information, with or without a poisoned link
Meta strengthened Muse's security warning after a researcher found a poisoned link could give attackers root access to the agent's virtual machine, and so far the fix is just a more prominent warning. Separately, YouTuber Matt Robb said Muse accepted a lowball Marketplace offer and invited the buyer to his home without telling him. Meta's David Singleton said Muse usually turns out to be following direct instructions, which may not be the best PR move, but it shows these stories are usually more complicated than the viral version. It also points to a different kind of risk: agents doing what they're supposed to do in ways that cause unexpected problems.

The Agentic Bank Run
"How many systems only work today because they are built around friction"
Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok warned that if every household used agents to optimize cash balances, moving money from 0.1% checking into 3.3% to 5% high-yield savings, banks could lose the cheap deposits they rely on to make loans. Andrew Curran compared it to Gary Gensler's worry about agentic advisors moving markets in lockstep. Many argued that people getting a better deal is good, and others doubted it would happen at all. A run on the scale Slok describes looks unlikely, since those switches are available today and people's priorities, not just their laziness, keep them where they are. The better question is where the threshold lies: does disruption start at 50% of people switching, or 5%? And what happens to digital advertising if 10 or 20% of purchases run through agents that don't care about ads?

Jason Yanowitz (X) Apollo's Torsten Slok: agents optimizing cash balances could trigger a bank run
Andrew Curran (X) Gensler warned of the same thing: agents acting in unison without colluding
Matt Parlmer (X) The public operating with high detail orientation is a very different world
Ethan Mollick (X) We are going to learn how many systems only work today because they are built around friction that will no longer exist soon
Aaron Levie (X) Interesting to think about all the implications in a world where agents begin to make the best or most efficient choice for their users
Austin Campbell (X) Banks were screwing their customers. Agents now realize that. Agents then route customers to better products. This is... bad?
Ethan Block (X) Chief economist at Apollo doesn’t understand consumers. Consumers want a name brand they can trust with their life savings. This is why Chase has a trillion in deposits.

Healthcare Billing
"It's not a war. It's a completely one-sided blood bath"
A Blue Cross Blue Shield Association analysis found a sharp rise in patients documented with complex conditions, adding $942 million in spending over two years as hospitals use AI to find the billing codes that maximize payment for the same care. As with the bank run, hospitals being paid correctly is hard to call bad. But in a system that assumes some friction and error, removing it can raise costs.

AI Realism
Move past hypey headlines to understand where the challenges are
AI realism holds that AI is here and will have dramatic effects, many of them unpredictable, many good and some bad. The most useful way to shape where it goes is to understand where the real problems lie. No doomsday rogue agent is needed for real disruption. Current cybersecurity isn't built for autonomous agents and needs hardening now, and a world where digital life runs through agents can't work the way today's does. Those questions are less exciting than the headlines, but they're the ones coming soonest.