What 2030 AI Will Be Like

Plus Zuckerberg Shares AI Strategy in Company-Wide Meeting

Author

Nathaniel Whittemore
June 09, 2023

The AI Breakdown First Five - Thursday June 8, 2023

Today on the First Five:

  • 5. AI Detectors Don’t Work

  • 4. The AnythingLLM

  • 3. Stability AI’s Photoshop Generative Fill Competitor

  • 2. 2030 AI Predictions

  • 1. Zuckerberg’s Company-Wide AI Note

5. Dubious AI Detectors

Teachers everywhere have reacted to the rise of ChatGPT with extreme concern for the sanctity of the homework they assign. However, despite worries about student’s cheating, new research suggests that current AI detection techniques should not be employed. Not only are they spoofable, they tend to have high false positives.

4. AnythingLLM

As LLM use has gone mainstream, startups and creators have pushed them in two directions: one — towards custom business and enterprise implementations, and two — towards more personalized, self-hosted implementations. AnythingLLM is a take on the latter, and also comes on the same day that friend-of-the-show Emmet releases a tool for training a chatbot on a YouTube channel.

3. Generative Fill Gets A Competitor As Adobe Offers Copyright Indemnity

Adobe is pushing their Firefly AI tools to their enterprise customers, but in an interesting move, will be offering indemnity around the possibility of copyright challenges for images created with their tools. Not content to let Photoshop have all the generative fill fun, however, Stability AI has released a similar web based tool called ClipDrop that expands image backgrounds.

2. 2030 AI Predictions

The First Five isn’t just about the 5 most important news stories. Sometimes it’s just about the most interesting thoughts and ideas in the AI space, and this one counts. Berkeley Prof Jacob Steinhardt uses a methodology called first-order forecasting to predict what 2030 GPT will be able to do.

What will GPT-2030 look like?

GPT-4 surprised many people with its abilities at coding, creative brainstorming, letter-writing, and other skills. How can we be less surprised by developments in machine learning? In this post, I’ll forecast the properties of large pretrained ML systems in 2030.

bounded-regret.ghost.io/what-will-gpt-2030-look-like

1. Zuck’s Company-Wide AI Note

Many saw Apple’s VisionPro announcement as taking the wind out of Meta’s sails. CEO Mark Zuckerberg tried to calm nerves with a company-wide meeting where he shared plans about, well everything. It was the most thorough look so far at how AI blends in with the company’s existing products, as well as how it could connect with their metaverse plans. When it comes to AI, open source was a big theme — which echoes Zuck’s recent discussion with Lex Fridman, as well.

BONUS: AI That Turns Gestures Into Music

If you’re a sucker for creativity, you’ll love this one. Also, given what we saw with VisionPro, gesture-based creation is likely to be a bigger theme going forward.

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Signing off from the future’s past - NLW